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lakeglance

FloridaNatural lake, 1,107 acres, Monroe County

Tarpon Creek wind forecast

Shoreline: USGS National Hydrography Dataset

7-day outlook

Daylight hours, 8am to 7pm local time. Wind in knots.

  1. TodayOct 26

    14-18kt

    NNE, gusts 30

    High 84°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  2. TueOct 27

    14-17kt

    NNE, gusts 28

    High 84°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  3. WedOct 28

    7-10kt

    NE, gusts 19

    High 85°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  4. ThuOct 29

    3-5kt

    E, gusts 10

    High 85°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  5. FriOct 30

    4kt

    ENE, gusts 9

    High 83°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  6. SatOct 31

    4-7kt

    E, gusts 12

    High 84°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  7. SunNov 1

    5-6kt

    E, gusts 10

    High 84°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore

Hour by hour, next 3 days

Wind and gusts0 to 30+ ktScoreGood, caution, stay ashoreNightBest windowArrows point where the wind blows to.

This week on Tarpon Creek

Over the next 7 days on Tarpon Creek, the windiest stretch looks like Monday, with gusts to about 30 kt. Friday is the calmest day in the outlook, topping out near 4 kt.

None of the next few days looks comfortable for sailing or paddling, so check the hourly strip for a short calm window before you go.

Thunderstorms are in the forecast for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Plan to be off the water before the first rumble; lightning can strike miles ahead of a storm.

Reading a lake wind forecast

Sustained wind is the average over a couple of minutes; gusts are the short peaks. On inland water the gap between the two matters as much as the average. A steady 12 kt is a pleasant sail, while 8 kt gusting 20 kt knocks small boats flat and tires out paddlers.

On a lake the size of Tarpon Creek, waves stay modest, but nearby hills, trees and buildings bend the wind. Expect shifts and puffs, especially close to shore, and treat the forecast speed as an average across open water.

The National Weather Service forecast covers a 2.5 km grid, so local effects like a sea breeze off a big lake, a cold front or afternoon thunderstorms can arrive earlier or stronger than shown. Check the forecast again on the morning you go, and keep an eye on small craft advisories.

Tarpon Creek forecast questions

What is the wind forecast for Tarpon Creek this weekend?

In the National Weather Service forecast from October 26: Saturday: E wind 4 to 7 kt, gusts to 12 kt, high near 84°F, thunderstorms possible. Sunday: E wind 5 to 6 kt, gusts to 10 kt, high near 84°F, thunderstorms possible. The live cards above always show the latest update.

When is the best day to sail on Tarpon Creek this week?

Based on the National Weather Service forecast from October 26, Monday looks best, with NNE wind around 14 to 18 kt and gusts near 30 kt. Forecasts beyond three days shift, so check the live day cards above and look again the night before.

Where does the Tarpon Creek wind forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service gridded forecast for the 2.5 km cell over the lake. It is the same forecast local NWS offices use, updated several times a day. We convert wind to knots and add our own go or no-go call for each activity.

What wind is too strong for a kayak or paddleboard?

We flag paddling as risky once sustained wind passes about 8 kt or gusts pass 12 kt, and advise staying ashore above 12 kt sustained or 18 kt gusts. Offshore wind is the most dangerous because it pushes you away from the launch.

Nearby lakes

If Tarpon Creek is blown out, these are the closest alternatives. Tap through for their wind forecasts.