Skip to content
lakeglance

AlaskaNatural lake, 1,176 acres, Kenai Peninsula Borough

Nellie Juan Lake wind forecast

Shoreline: USGS National Hydrography Dataset

7-day outlook

Daylight hours, 8am to 7pm local time. Wind in knots.

  1. MonOct 26

    6-10kt

    WNW, gusts 14

    High 38°F, rain 12%

    Good
  2. TueOct 27

    0-6kt

    NNW, gusts 8

    High 40°F, rain 0%

    Use caution
  3. WedOct 28

    5-7kt

    SE, gusts 10

    High 37°F, rain 62%

    Good
  4. ThuOct 29

    7-13kt

    E, gusts 16

    High 37°F, rain 93%

    Good
  5. FriOct 30

    13-16kt

    SE, gusts 19

    High 38°F, rain 97%

    Good
  6. SatOct 31

    4-7kt

    SE, gusts 11

    High 34°F, rain 73%

    Good
  7. SunNov 1

    5-6kt

    NE, gusts 10

    High 31°F, rain 53%

    Good

Hour by hour, next 3 days

Wind and gusts0 to 30+ ktScoreGood, caution, stay ashoreNightBest windowArrows point where the wind blows to.

This week on Nellie Juan

Over the next 7 days on Nellie Juan Lake, the windiest stretch looks like Friday, with gusts to about 19 kt. Tuesday is the calmest day in the outlook, topping out near 6 kt.

Monday is the pick for sailing, and Tuesday looks best for kayaks and paddleboards. Mornings are usually calmer than afternoons, so check the hourly strip for the exact window.

Reading a lake wind forecast

Sustained wind is the average over a couple of minutes; gusts are the short peaks. On inland water the gap between the two matters as much as the average. A steady 12 kt is a pleasant sail, while 8 kt gusting 20 kt knocks small boats flat and tires out paddlers.

On a lake the size of Nellie Juan, waves stay modest, but nearby hills, trees and buildings bend the wind. Expect shifts and puffs, especially close to shore, and treat the forecast speed as an average across open water.

The National Weather Service forecast covers a 2.5 km grid, so local effects like a sea breeze off a big lake, a cold front or afternoon thunderstorms can arrive earlier or stronger than shown. Check the forecast again on the morning you go, and keep an eye on small craft advisories.

Nellie Juan Lake forecast questions

What is the wind forecast for Nellie Juan Lake this weekend?

In the National Weather Service forecast from October 25: Saturday: SE wind 4 to 7 kt, gusts to 11 kt, high near 34°F, 73% chance of rain. Sunday: NE wind 5 to 6 kt, gusts to 10 kt, high near 31°F, 53% chance of rain. The live cards above always show the latest update.

When is the best day to sail on Nellie Juan Lake this week?

Based on the National Weather Service forecast from October 25, Monday looks best, with WNW wind around 6 to 10 kt and gusts near 14 kt. Forecasts beyond three days shift, so check the live day cards above and look again the night before.

Where does the Nellie Juan Lake wind forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service gridded forecast for the 2.5 km cell over the lake. It is the same forecast local NWS offices use, updated several times a day. We convert wind to knots and add our own go or no-go call for each activity.

What wind is too strong for a kayak or paddleboard?

We flag paddling as risky once sustained wind passes about 8 kt or gusts pass 12 kt, and advise staying ashore above 12 kt sustained or 18 kt gusts. Offshore wind is the most dangerous because it pushes you away from the launch.

Nearby lakes

If Nellie Juan is blown out, these are the closest alternatives. Tap through for their wind forecasts.