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TexasReservoir, 19,889 acres, Live Oak County, McMullen County

Choke Canyon Reservoir wind forecast

Shoreline: USGS National Hydrography Dataset

7-day outlook

Daylight hours, 8am to 7pm local time. Wind in knots.

  1. TodayOct 26

    6-8kt

    E, gusts 16

    High 83°F, rain 5%

    Good
  2. TueOct 27

    6-8kt

    E, gusts 17

    High 81°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  3. WedOct 28

    5-8kt

    ESE, gusts 17

    High 84°F, rain 14%

    Good
  4. ThuOct 29

    7-8kt

    ESE, gusts 20

    High 78°F, storms possible

    Stay ashore
  5. FriOct 30

    7-9kt

    ESE, gusts 17

    High 81°F, rain 34%

    Good
  6. SatOct 31

    3-6kt

    ESE, gusts 12

    High 84°F, rain 14%

    Good
  7. SunNov 1

    4-6kt

    SE, gusts 14

    High 86°F, rain 3%

    Good

Hour by hour, next 3 days

Wind and gusts0 to 30+ ktScoreGood, caution, stay ashoreNightBest windowArrows point where the wind blows to.

This week on Choke Canyon

Over the next 7 days on Choke Canyon Reservoir, the windiest stretch looks like Thursday, with gusts to about 20 kt. Saturday is the calmest day in the outlook, topping out near 6 kt.

Friday is the pick for sailing, and Saturday looks best for kayaks and paddleboards. Mornings are usually calmer than afternoons, so check the hourly strip for the exact window.

Thunderstorms are in the forecast for Tuesday, Thursday. Plan to be off the water before the first rumble; lightning can strike miles ahead of a storm.

Reading a lake wind forecast

Sustained wind is the average over a couple of minutes; gusts are the short peaks. On inland water the gap between the two matters as much as the average. A steady 12 kt is a pleasant sail, while 8 kt gusting 20 kt knocks small boats flat and tires out paddlers.

Choke Canyon Reservoir is large enough for wind to build real waves. When the forecast direction lines up with the long open stretches of the lake, expect bigger chop than the wind speed alone suggests, and plan routes that keep you near a sheltered shore on the way back.

The National Weather Service forecast covers a 2.5 km grid, so local effects like a sea breeze off a big lake, a cold front or afternoon thunderstorms can arrive earlier or stronger than shown. Check the forecast again on the morning you go, and keep an eye on small craft advisories.

Choke Canyon Reservoir forecast questions

What is the wind forecast for Choke Canyon Reservoir this weekend?

In the National Weather Service forecast from October 26: Saturday: ESE wind 3 to 6 kt, gusts to 12 kt, high near 84°F. Sunday: SE wind 4 to 6 kt, gusts to 14 kt, high near 86°F. The live cards above always show the latest update.

When is the best day to sail on Choke Canyon Reservoir this week?

Based on the National Weather Service forecast from October 26, Friday looks best, with ESE wind around 7 to 9 kt and gusts near 17 kt. Forecasts beyond three days shift, so check the live day cards above and look again the night before.

Where does the Choke Canyon Reservoir wind forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service gridded forecast for the 2.5 km cell over the lake. It is the same forecast local NWS offices use, updated several times a day. We convert wind to knots and add our own go or no-go call for each activity.

What wind is too strong for a kayak or paddleboard?

We flag paddling as risky once sustained wind passes about 8 kt or gusts pass 12 kt, and advise staying ashore above 12 kt sustained or 18 kt gusts. Offshore wind is the most dangerous because it pushes you away from the launch.

Nearby lakes

If Choke Canyon is blown out, these are the closest alternatives. Tap through for their wind forecasts.